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Ural vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Yekaterinburg Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Begic S.
34' Event
Guziev E.
Own Goal
58'
Sub
Bogomolskiy E. In: Sekulic M.
Out: Bogomolskiy E.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2025/2026 game between Ural and FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ural.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ural
6%
Draws
4%
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ural

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ural carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ural are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ural have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ural Clean Sheet 68%
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ural FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.25 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 FNL
Ural vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
5:0
Oct 20, 2025 FNL
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs Ural
0:1
Dec 1, 2024 FNL
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye vs Ural
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 FNL
Ural vs FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ural Compare

Top Goalscorer Begic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ishkov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ural 95 / 100
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ural FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Away concern: FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ural's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ural VS FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
1.25 Goals Scored 0.71
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.43
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rodina Moscow341911458:2868
2Fakel Voronezh34208644:2268
3Ural34187951:3161
4R. Volgograd341511847:2656
5Kamaz341213946:3449
6Yenisey3413101137:3549
7S. Kostroma341213946:4149
8Shinnik Yaroslavl341115834:2848
9Torpedo Moscow3412101237:3946
10Chelyabinsk3410141042:4044
11Neftekhimik3410131140:4143
12SKA Khabarovsk3410121237:4542
13Arsenal Tula348151142:4439
14Ulyanovsk349101535:4837
15Ufa349101532:4037
16Chernomorets Novorossijsk34981737:4935
17Saratov345111816:4426
18FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye34572230:7622