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Ural vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Yekaterinburg Arena, Yekaterinburg
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ural host Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the FNL. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Pari Nizhny Novgorod have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while Ural have conceded 0.86 and scored 1.59. Past meetings favor Pari Nizhny Novgorod slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2024, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.88) point toward Pari Nizhny Novgorod. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ural
15%
Draws
58%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pari Nizhny Novgorod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ural haven't matched Pari Nizhny Novgorod's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pari Nizhny Novgorod's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ural Clean Sheet 10%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ural Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.59 2.39
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Ural vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2:2
Dec 2, 2023 Premier League
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Ural
1:0
Jul 29, 2023 Premier League
Ural vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0:0
May 7, 2023 Premier League
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Ural
0:0
Aug 20, 2022 Premier League
Ural vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ural 10 / 100
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ural Pari Nizhny Novgorod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pari Nizhny Novgorod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Ural scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Ural remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ural VS Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ural

(Home)
10 Oct
Ural
1 : 2
Veles Moscow
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2
Ural
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1
Ural
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Pari Nizhny Novgorod

(Away)
10 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 0
Yenisey
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0
Leningradets
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
09 Sept
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
3 Ural 13 7 4 2 21:8 25
4 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
5 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
10 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
13 Ulyanovsk 13 4 2 7 16:19 14
14 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 13 2 4 7 14:22 10
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 13 1 4 8 14:26 7
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