Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ural vs Torpedo Moscow

Russia Russia

FNL Yekaterinburg Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sub
Roganovic B. In: Kornyushin D.
Out: Roganovic B.
46'
Kashtanov A.
59'
Sub
Kashtanov A. In: Tsypchenko D.
Out: Kashtanov A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between Ural and Torpedo Moscow finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torpedo Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ural
11%
Draws
80%
Torpedo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Torpedo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Ural haven't matched Torpedo Moscow's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Torpedo Moscow's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ural Clean Sheet 20%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ural Torpedo Moscow
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Torpedo Moscow
0:1
Apr 22, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Torpedo Moscow
2:0
Aug 18, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Ural
1:0
Apr 21, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Ural
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 FNL
Ural vs Torpedo Moscow
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ural Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Torpedo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Borodin S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ural 12 / 100
Torpedo Moscow 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ural Torpedo Moscow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ural's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Torpedo Moscow conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Ural has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ural VS Torpedo Moscow
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ufa11003:03
2Pari Nizhny Novgorod11004:23
3Chelyabinsk11003:13
4S. Kostroma11003:13
5Yenisey11002:13
6Arsenal Tula11002:13
7Torpedo Moscow11001:03
8Veles Moscow11001:03
9Shinnik Yaroslavl10102:21
10PFC Sochi10102:21
11Tekstilshtik10011:20
12Ulyanovsk10011:20
13Ural10010:10
14Neftekhimik10010:10
15R. Volgograd10012:40
16SKA Khabarovsk10011:30
17Kamaz10011:30
18Leningradets10010:30