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Ural vs Torpedo Moscow Prediction & H2H Stats

Russia Russia

FNL Yekaterinburg Arena, Yekaterinburg
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sub
Roganovic B. In: Kornyushin D.
Out: Roganovic B.
46'
Kashtanov A.
59'
Sub
Kashtanov A. In: Tsypchenko D.
Out: Kashtanov A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between Ural and Torpedo Moscow finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torpedo Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ural
30%
Draws
23%
Torpedo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ural

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ural haven't matched Torpedo Moscow's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ural's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ural Clean Sheet 68%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ural Torpedo Moscow
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.53 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Torpedo Moscow
0:1
Apr 22, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Torpedo Moscow
2:0
Aug 18, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Ural
1:0
Apr 21, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Ural
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 FNL
Ural vs Torpedo Moscow
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ural Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Torpedo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Borodin S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ural 59 / 100
Torpedo Moscow 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ural Torpedo Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ural Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ural's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Ural remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Torpedo Moscow has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ural VS Torpedo Moscow
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ural

(Home)
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2
Ural
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1
Ural
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0
Kamaz
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Torpedo Moscow

(Away)
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
04 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 4
Torpedo Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Ural 12 7 4 1 20:6 25
3 S. Kostroma 12 7 3 2 16:10 24
4 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
5 Veles Moscow 12 7 2 3 16:14 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
10 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
11 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
12 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
13 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
14 Chelyabinsk 12 3 3 6 13:19 12
15 Ulyanovsk 12 3 2 7 14:18 11
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 12 1 3 8 11:23 6
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
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