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Uralets Nizhny Tagil vs Khimik Avgust

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Fakhrutdinov A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 2023 game between Uralets Nizhny Tagil and Khimik Avgust finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uralets Nizhny Tagil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Uralets Nizhny Tagil
28%
Draws
22%
Khimik Avgust
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Uralets Nizhny Tagil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Khimik Avgust have managed 0 goals a game lately — Uralets Nizhny Tagil are scoring more at 1.25.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Uralets Nizhny Tagil taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Uralets Nizhny Tagil Clean Sheet 68%
Khimik Avgust Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uralets Nizhny Tagil Khimik Avgust
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 15 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Uralets Nizhny Tagil vs Khimik Avgust
1:0
Jul 29, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Khimik Avgust vs Uralets Nizhny Tagil
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uralets Nizhny Tagil Compare

Top Goalscorer Fakhrutdinov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Khimik Avgust Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uralets Nizhny Tagil 59 / 100
Khimik Avgust 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uralets Nizhny Tagil Khimik Avgust

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uralets Nizhny Tagil scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Uralets Nizhny Tagil has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Khimik Avgust conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Uralets Nizhny Tagil VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Torpedo Miass16113233:1236
2Khimik Avgust1687119:631
3Rubin Kazan 21675415:1426
4Nosta1667319:1425
5Ural 21656520:2021
6Uralets Nizhny Tagil164668:1218
7Dynamo Barnaul1645728:2917
8Orenburg 21636714:2415
9Akron Togliatti 21603139:343