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Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 2025 Stadium Uralets

Khimik

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uralets Nizhny Tagil play Khimik in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uralets Nizhny Tagil averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Khimik averaged 2.24 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. In past meetings, Uralets Nizhny Tagil won 0, Khimik won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 24, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Uralets Nizhny Tagil and 1.63 for Khimik. This points to a Khimik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Uralets Nizhny Tagil

18%

Draws

50%

Khimik

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Khimik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Uralets Nizhny Tagil picked up more points recently compared to Khimik.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Uralets Nizhny Tagil Clean Sheet 14%

Khimik Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uralets Nizhny Tagil	Khimik
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	14	26
Draws	6	5
Losses	10	3
Goals Scored	1.5	2.24
Goals Conceded	1.17	0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4

Uralets Nizhny Tagil vs Khimik

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

May 18, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4

Khimik vs Uralets Nizhny Tagil

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uralets Nizhny Tagil Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Khimik Compare

Top Goalscorer Plotnikov D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yurchenko I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uralets Nizhny Tagil 32 / 100

Khimik 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uralets Nizhny Tagil Khimik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Khimik or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uralets Nizhny Tagil attacking → ← attacking Khimik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uralets Nizhny Tagil scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Khimik let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Uralets Nizhny Tagil went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Khimik lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 83

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Amkar	26	20	3	3	60:19	63
2	Khimik	26	19	5	2	56:20	62
3	KDV Tomsk	26	13	7	6	41:25	46
4	Orenburg 2	26	12	10	4	41:24	46
5	Uralets Nizhny Tagil	26	12	6	8	37:28	42
6	Dynamo Barnaul	26	12	5	9	30:40	41
7	Volna Nizhegorodskaya	26	12	4	10	33:35	40
8	Rubin Kazan 2	26	11	6	9	40:30	39
9	Krylya Sovetov Samara 2	26	7	8	11	29:39	29
10	Akron Togliatti 2	26	8	3	15	41:52	27
11	Chelyabinsk 2	26	7	6	13	18:40	27
12	Ural 2	26	5	6	15	22:53	21
13	Nosta	26	5	4	17	24:52	19
14	Sokol Kazan	26	2	1	23	8:23	7