Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Urania Baska Voda vs HNK Zadar

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HNK Zadar in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored HNK Zadar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Urania Baska Voda
40%
Draws
29%
HNK Zadar
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HNK Zadar lately — more wins on the board than Urania Baska Voda.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Urania Baska Voda Clean Sheet 10%
HNK Zadar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urania Baska Voda HNK Zadar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 2 9
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 3. HNL South
Urania Baska Voda vs HNK Zadar
0:1
Aug 28, 2021 3. HNL South
HNK Zadar vs Urania Baska Voda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urania Baska Voda 30 / 100
HNK Zadar 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urania Baska Voda HNK Zadar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Urania Baska Voda stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Urania Baska Voda's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

HNK Zadar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Urania Baska Voda VS HNK Zadar
2 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
83% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Urania Baska Voda

(Home)
25 Sept
Urania Baska Voda
1 : 4
Hajduk Split
28 May
Uskok Klis
3 : 4
Urania Baska Voda
22 May
Urania Baska Voda
0 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
14 May
OSK Otok
3 : 4
Urania Baska Voda
08 May
Urania Baska Voda
3 : 1
Primorac Biograd
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HNK Zadar

(Away)
16 Jun
HNK Zadar
2 : 2
Segesta
09 Jun
Segesta
2 : 1
HNK Zadar
10 Feb
HNK Zadar
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
02 Feb
HNK Zadar
0 : 0
Sutjeska
20 Jan
HNK Zadar
0 : 2
Sibenik
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jadran Luka Ploce34205967:2865
2Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje341861056:3860
3Hrvace341861046:3960
4HNK Zadar341611769:2859
5Neretva341671150:3655
6RNK Split341571252:4052
7NK Junak Sinj341641449:4652
8Uskok Klis341561351:5451
9Sloga Mravince341214848:4550
10Primorac Biograd341461460:5648
11Zagora341281447:5244
12GOSK Dubrovnik3411101335:3443
13Zmaj Makarska3411101328:3943
14Neretvanac341081640:5338
15Kamen Podbablje349101537:5137
16Vodice34891744:7333
17Urania Baska Voda341032133:6533
18OSK Otok34682048:8326
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)