Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Urania Baska Voda vs Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Urania Baska Voda and Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Urania Baska Voda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Urania Baska Voda
22%
Draws
18%
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Urania Baska Voda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Urania Baska Voda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Urania Baska Voda Clean Sheet 10%
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urania Baska Voda Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 15
Draws 2 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2022 3. HNL South
Urania Baska Voda vs Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
2:0
Oct 2, 2021 3. HNL South
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje vs Urania Baska Voda
3:0
Jun 5, 2021 3. HNL South
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje vs Urania Baska Voda
2:1
Nov 22, 2020 3. HNL South
Urania Baska Voda vs Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urania Baska Voda 56 / 100
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urania Baska Voda Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Urania Baska Voda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Urania Baska Voda VS Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Urania Baska Voda

(Home)
25 Sept
Urania Baska Voda
1 : 4
Hajduk Split
28 May
Uskok Klis
3 : 4
Urania Baska Voda
22 May
Urania Baska Voda
0 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
14 May
OSK Otok
3 : 4
Urania Baska Voda
08 May
Urania Baska Voda
3 : 1
Primorac Biograd
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Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje

(Away)
23 Aug
Sibenik
4 : 1
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
28 Aug
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
1 : 2
Slavonija Pozega
06 Aug
Trnje
3 : 1
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
03 Aug
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
2 : 1
Trnje
18 Jun
Medjimurje
3 : 0
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jadran Luka Ploce34205967:2865
2Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje341861056:3860
3Hrvace341861046:3960
4HNK Zadar341611769:2859
5Neretva341671150:3655
6RNK Split341571252:4052
7NK Junak Sinj341641449:4652
8Uskok Klis341561351:5451
9Sloga Mravince341214848:4550
10Primorac Biograd341461460:5648
11Zagora341281447:5244
12GOSK Dubrovnik3411101335:3443
13Zmaj Makarska3411101328:3943
14Neretvanac341081640:5338
15Kamen Podbablje349101537:5137
16Vodice34891744:7333
17Urania Baska Voda341032133:6533
18OSK Otok34682048:8326
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)