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Urartu vs Alashkert - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Urartu Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Rajani M.
45'
Veremeev V.
70'
Sub
Lulukyan G. In: Velosa M.
Out: Lulukyan G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Urartu
35%
Draws
42%
Alashkert
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alashkert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Alashkert have won more games recently than Urartu.
  • Model gives Alashkert a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Urartu Clean Sheet 12%
Alashkert Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urartu Alashkert
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.73 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Premier League
Urartu vs Alashkert
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Urartu vs Alashkert
1:3
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League
Alashkert vs Urartu
0:2
Aug 22, 2025 Premier League
Urartu vs Alashkert
0:1
Apr 11, 2025 Premier League
Alashkert vs Urartu
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Rajani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Alashkert Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urartu 11 / 100
Alashkert 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urartu Alashkert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alashkert Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urartu found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Alashkert has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Urartu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Urartu VS Alashkert
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Urartu

(Home)
11 Oct
Urartu
2 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
18 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
Urartu
12 Sept
Urartu
0 : 3
Noah
06 Sept
BKMA
2 : 1
Urartu
28 Aug
Urartu
1 : 1
Alashkert
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Alashkert

(Away)
16 Oct
Alashkert
5 : 1
Syunik
10 Oct
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 1
Alashkert
19 Sept
Alashkert
3 : 3
Pyunik Yerevan
13 Sept
Sardarapat
1 : 1
Alashkert
03 Sept
Alashkert
4 : 0
Van
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 9 9 0 0 26:6 27
2 Pyunik Yerevan 9 6 3 0 23:8 21
3 Ararat-Armenia 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
4 Alashkert 9 4 4 1 19:7 16
5 Urartu 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
6 Sardarapat 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
7 Shirak Gyumri 9 3 1 5 11:12 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
9 BKMA 9 2 2 5 8:15 8
10 Van 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
11 Syunik 9 1 2 6 5:17 5
12 FC Gandzasar 9 1 0 8 8:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)