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Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Urartu Stadium, Yerevan
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Urartu host Ararat-Armenia in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Urartu have averaged 1.61 scored and 1.64 conceded recently, against Ararat-Armenia's 1.59 scored and 1.11 conceded. Past meetings favor Ararat-Armenia slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Ararat-Armenia. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Urartu
30%
Draws
47%
Ararat-Armenia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ararat-Armenia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Urartu haven't matched Ararat-Armenia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ararat-Armenia a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ararat-Armenia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Urartu Clean Sheet 20%
Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urartu Ararat-Armenia
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.61 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Premier League
Ararat-Armenia vs Urartu
2:1
May 3, 2026 Premier League
Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Ararat-Armenia vs Urartu
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia
2:3
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urartu 20 / 100
Ararat-Armenia 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urartu Ararat-Armenia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ararat-Armenia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urartu found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Ararat-Armenia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Urartu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Urartu VS Ararat-Armenia
1.14 Goals Scored 1.5
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Urartu

(Home)
11 Oct
Urartu
2 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
18 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
Urartu
12 Sept
Urartu
0 : 3
Noah
06 Sept
BKMA
2 : 1
Urartu
28 Aug
Urartu
1 : 1
Alashkert
Page 1 of 6

Ararat-Armenia

(Away)
10 Oct
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 1
Alashkert
03 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 4
Ararat-Armenia
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3
Ararat-Armenia
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4
Sparta Prague
11 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
3 : 0
Syunik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 9 9 0 0 26:6 27
2 Pyunik Yerevan 9 6 3 0 23:8 21
3 Ararat-Armenia 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
4 Alashkert 9 4 4 1 19:7 16
5 Urartu 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
6 Sardarapat 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
7 Shirak Gyumri 9 3 1 5 11:12 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
9 BKMA 9 2 2 5 8:15 8
10 Van 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
11 Syunik 9 1 2 6 5:17 5
12 FC Gandzasar 9 1 0 8 8:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)