Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Urartu vs Noah

Armenia Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Urartu Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Manvelyan G.
Assist: Jakolis M.
5' Event
Saintini N.
Assist: Helder Ferreira
46'
Sub
Vardanyan E. In: Melkonyan K.
Out: Vardanyan E.

AI Match Summary

Noah in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Noah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Urartu
15%
Draws
58%
Noah
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Noah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Noah have won more games recently than Urartu.
  • Model gives Noah a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Urartu Clean Sheet 14%
Noah Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urartu Noah
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 12 24
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.69 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Urartu vs Noah
0:3
May 27, 2026 Premier League
Urartu vs Noah
0:5
May 14, 2026 Armenian Cup
Urartu vs Noah
2:4
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Noah vs Urartu
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Urartu vs Noah
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urartu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Noah Compare

Top Goalscorer Manvelyan G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saintini N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urartu 11 / 100
Noah 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urartu Noah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Noah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urartu's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Urartu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Noah conceded in 43% of 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Urartu VS Noah
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Urartu

(Home)
12 Sept
Urartu
0 : 3
Noah
06 Sept
BKMA
2 : 1
Urartu
28 Aug
Urartu
1 : 1
Alashkert
22 Aug
Shirak Gyumri
0 : 1
Urartu
13 Aug
Urartu
3 : 0
Syunik
Page 1 of 6

Noah

(Away)
12 Sept
Urartu
0 : 3
Noah
04 Sept
Noah
3 : 2
FC Gandzasar
30 Aug
Noah
4 : 0
Ararat Yerevan
23 Aug
BKMA
0 : 1
Noah
17 Aug
Noah
1 : 0
Alashkert
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ararat-Armenia 27 18 6 3 50:25 60
2 Noah 27 16 8 3 61:19 56
3 Pyunik Yerevan 27 17 4 6 37:18 55
4 Alashkert 27 16 5 6 42:23 53
5 Urartu 27 14 7 6 43:26 49
6 Van 27 9 4 14 27:40 31
7 BKMA 27 4 11 12 30:42 23
8 FC Gandzasar 27 5 6 16 20:41 21
9 Ararat Yerevan 27 3 4 20 21:63 13
10 Shirak Gyumri 27 2 7 18 17:51 13
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)