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Urartu vs Noah

Armenia Armenia

Armenian Cup 2025/2026 Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Mirzoyan M.
26' Event
Helder Ferreira
45'
Alef Santos

AI Match Summary

Noah in this Armenian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Urartu
15%
Draws
58%
Noah
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Noah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Urartu haven't matched Noah's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Noah's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Noah arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Noah, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Urartu Clean Sheet 14%
Noah Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urartu Noah
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 12 24
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.69 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Urartu vs Noah
0:3
May 27, 2026 Premier League
Urartu vs Noah
0:5
May 14, 2026 Armenian Cup
Urartu vs Noah
2:4
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Noah vs Urartu
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Urartu vs Noah
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Mirzoyan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vardanyan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Noah Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakolis M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Helder Ferreira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urartu 10 / 100
Noah 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urartu Noah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Noah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urartu scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Urartu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Noah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 37 matches.

Scoring Trends

Urartu VS Noah
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Urartu

(Home)
12 Sept
Urartu
0 : 3
Noah
06 Sept
BKMA
2 : 1
Urartu
28 Aug
Urartu
1 : 1
Alashkert
22 Aug
Shirak Gyumri
0 : 1
Urartu
13 Aug
Urartu
3 : 0
Syunik
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Noah

(Away)
12 Sept
Urartu
0 : 3
Noah
04 Sept
Noah
3 : 2
FC Gandzasar
30 Aug
Noah
4 : 0
Ararat Yerevan
23 Aug
BKMA
0 : 1
Noah
17 Aug
Noah
1 : 0
Alashkert
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Syunik 3
Hayq 1
TBD -
Cilicia -
Bentonit 0
Andranik 3
TBD -
BKMA -
Mika 1
Sardarapat 2
TBD -
Ararat Yerevan -
Urartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Van -
Araks Ararat 2
Lernayin Artsakh 1
TBD -
Shirak Gyumri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
Pyunik Yerevan -
TBD -
FC Gandzasar 2
Alashkert 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Noah -
1/8-finals
Syunik 1
Cilicia 0
Andranik 2
BKMA 0
Sardarapat 0
Ararat Yerevan 3
Urartu 4
Van 0
Araks Ararat 0
Shirak Gyumri 4
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
Pyunik Yerevan 3
FC Gandzasar 0
TBD -
Noah -
Quarter-finals
Syunik 2
Andranik 5
Ararat Yerevan 3
Urartu 5
Shirak Gyumri 0
Ararat-Armenia 3
Pyunik Yerevan 3
Noah 4
Semi-finals
Andranik 1
Urartu 2
Ararat-Armenia 0
Noah 1
Final
Urartu 2
Noah 4