Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Goya H.
41'
41'
Nemoto K.
Assist: Matheus S.
45'
45'
Yasui T.
AI Match Summary
Urawa Reds in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urawa Reds.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
20%
16%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urawa Reds
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Urawa Reds have won more games recently than Chiba.
- Urawa Reds are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Urawa Reds here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 68%
Chiba Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Urawa Reds | Chiba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Chiba
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 J1 League
Chiba vs Urawa Reds
0:2
Oct 3, 2009 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Chiba
3:1
Apr 25, 2009 J1 League
Chiba vs Urawa Reds
0:1
Oct 5, 2008 J1 League
Chiba vs Urawa Reds
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Urawa Reds Compare
Top Goalscorer Nemoto K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Komori H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Chiba Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Urawa Reds 77 / 100
Chiba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Urawa Reds Chiba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick URW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chiba let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Urawa Reds scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Chiba's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Urawa Reds VS Chiba
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Urawa Reds
(Home) 07 Aug
Gamba Osaka
4 : 3 Urawa Reds
01 Aug
Urawa Reds
2 : 2 Omiya Ardija
21 Jul
Urawa Reds
2 : 0 Fujieda MYFC
17 Jul
Ryukyu
5 : 4 Urawa Reds
06 Jun
Urawa Reds
0 : 2 Okayama
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Urawa Reds
2 : 2 Omiya Ardija
21 Jul
Urawa Reds
2 : 0 Fujieda MYFC
06 Jun
Urawa Reds
0 : 2 Okayama
16 May
Urawa Reds
0 : 1 FC Tokyo
02 May
Urawa Reds
2 : 0 Chiba
Page 1 of 3
Chiba
(Away) 08 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Chiba
01 Aug
Chiba
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
06 Jun
Chiba
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
30 May
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 2 Chiba
23 May
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2 Chiba
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Chiba
30 May
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 2 Chiba
23 May
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2 Chiba
06 May
FC Tokyo
0 : 3 Chiba
02 May
Urawa Reds
2 : 0 Chiba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 45 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 37 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Verdy | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Mito | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | 18 |
| 10 | Chiba | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | 12 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 28 |
| 6 | Okayama | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | 21 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
