Sport Picks

Japan

J1 League 2026 Saitama Stadium, Saitama

Urawa Reds

2 - 3

Kashima Antlers

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Hidano R.

Assist: Kaneko T.

19'

Watanabe R.

Assist: Nemoto K.

45'

Leo Ceara

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J1 League 2026 game between Urawa Reds and Kashima Antlers finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kashima Antlers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Urawa Reds

11%

Draws

80%

Kashima Antlers

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Kashima Antlers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Kashima Antlers carry the better recent record into this one.
Kashima Antlers are the model's pick here, at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 19%

Kashima Antlers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Urawa Reds	Kashima Antlers
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	13	22
Draws	3	4
Losses	15	4
Goals Scored	1.5	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 J1 League

Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Reds

1:0

Feb 28, 2026 J1 League

Urawa Reds vs Kashima Antlers

2:3

Sep 20, 2025 J1 League

Urawa Reds vs Kashima Antlers

0:1

Mar 16, 2025 J1 League

Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Reds

1:1

Aug 17, 2024 J1 League

Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Reds

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urawa Reds Compare

Top Goalscorer Hidano R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Watanabe R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Kashima Antlers Compare

Top Goalscorer Suzuki Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cavric A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urawa Reds 12 / 100

Kashima Antlers 86 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Urawa Reds Kashima Antlers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Urawa Reds scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Kashima Antlers conceded in 40% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Urawa Reds remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Urawa Reds VS Kashima Antlers

1.5 Goals Scored 1.63

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Urawa Reds

(Home)

21 Jul

Urawa Reds

2 : 0

Fujieda MYFC

17 Jul

Ryukyu

5 : 4

Urawa Reds

06 Jun

Urawa Reds

0 : 2

Okayama

31 May

Okayama

1 : 1

Urawa Reds

22 May

Machida Zelvia

1 : 0

Urawa Reds

Page 1 of 7

Kashima Antlers

(Away)

15 Jul

Kashima Antlers

5 : 0

Vegalta Sendai

06 Jun

Kashima Antlers

2 : 0

Vissel Kobe

30 May

Vissel Kobe

5 : 0

Kashima Antlers

23 May

Kashima Antlers

1 : 0

FC Tokyo

17 May

Chiba

0 : 2

Kashima Antlers

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	18	15	3	31:11	45
2	FC Tokyo	18	13	5	32:18	37
3	Machida Zelvia	18	13	5	28:22	37
4	Kawasaki Frontale	18	10	8	26:28	28
5	Verdy	18	10	8	22:26	28
6	Urawa Reds	18	7	11	25:22	25
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	18	6	12	28:31	20
8	Kashiwa Reysol	18	7	11	22:24	20
9	Mito	18	6	12	23:39	18
10	Chiba	18	3	15	18:34	12

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	7	29:25	35
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	7	30:21	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	8	33:31	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	10	8	31:23	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	8	31:25	28
6	Okayama	18	8	10	26:29	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	8	10	23:25	24
8	Kyoto	18	8	10	22:28	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	7	11	21:29	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	11	21:31	21

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)