Sport Picks

Japan

J1 League 2026 Saitama Stadium, Saitama

Urawa Reds

1 - 2

Machida Zelvia

Our Tip

Match Events

Ogiwara T.

Hayashi K.

26'

Mochizuki H.

Assist: Nakayama Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Machida Zelvia in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Machida Zelvia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Urawa Reds

28%

Draws

50%

Machida Zelvia

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Machida Zelvia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Machida Zelvia have won more games recently than Urawa Reds.
Model gives Machida Zelvia a 50% chance of winning this.
Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 22%

Machida Zelvia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Urawa Reds	Machida Zelvia
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	13	21
Draws	3	3
Losses	15	7
Goals Scored	1.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 J1 League

Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Reds

1:0

Mar 22, 2026 J1 League

Urawa Reds vs Machida Zelvia

1:2

Oct 25, 2025 J1 League

Urawa Reds vs Machida Zelvia

0:0

Apr 13, 2025 J1 League

Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Reds

0:2

Aug 31, 2024 J1 League

Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Reds

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urawa Reds Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Machida Zelvia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mochizuki H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urawa Reds 24 / 100

Machida Zelvia 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Urawa Reds Machida Zelvia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urawa Reds's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Machida Zelvia let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Urawa Reds remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Urawa Reds VS Machida Zelvia

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 63%

13% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Urawa Reds

(Home)

21 Jul

Urawa Reds

2 : 0

Fujieda MYFC

17 Jul

Ryukyu

5 : 4

Urawa Reds

06 Jun

Urawa Reds

0 : 2

Okayama

31 May

Okayama

1 : 1

Urawa Reds

22 May

Machida Zelvia

1 : 0

Urawa Reds

Page 1 of 7

Machida Zelvia

(Away)

18 Jul

Machida Zelvia

2 : 1

Fujieda MYFC

06 Jun

Machida Zelvia

2 : 1

Nagoya Grampus

30 May

Nagoya Grampus

2 : 2

Machida Zelvia

22 May

Machida Zelvia

1 : 0

Urawa Reds

17 May

Kawasaki Frontale

2 : 1

Machida Zelvia

Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	18	15	3	31:11	45
2	FC Tokyo	18	13	5	32:18	37
3	Machida Zelvia	18	13	5	28:22	37
4	Kawasaki Frontale	18	10	8	26:28	28
5	Verdy	18	10	8	22:26	28
6	Urawa Reds	18	7	11	25:22	25
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	18	6	12	28:31	20
8	Kashiwa Reysol	18	7	11	22:24	20
9	Mito	18	6	12	23:39	18
10	Chiba	18	3	15	18:34	12

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League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	7	29:25	35
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	7	30:21	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	8	33:31	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	10	8	31:23	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	8	31:25	28
6	Okayama	18	8	10	26:29	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	8	10	23:25	24
8	Kyoto	18	8	10	22:28	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	7	11	21:29	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	11	21:31	21

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)