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Urawa Reds vs Omiya Ardija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
de Souza Junior C. A.
14' Event
Watanabe R.
15' Event
Izumi T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Urawa Reds
20%
Draws
38%
Omiya Ardija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urawa Reds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Omiya Ardija have won more games recently than Urawa Reds.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 14%
Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urawa Reds Omiya Ardija
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.69 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Emperors Cup
Urawa Reds vs Omiya Ardija
3:2
Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Urawa Reds vs Omiya Ardija
2:2
Aug 5, 2017 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Omiya Ardija
2:2
Apr 30, 2017 J1 League
Omiya Ardija vs Urawa Reds
1:0
Jul 17, 2016 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Omiya Ardija
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urawa Reds Compare

Top Goalscorer Watanabe R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onaiwu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Omiya Ardija Compare

Top Goalscorer de Souza Junior C. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Izumi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urawa Reds 31 / 100
Omiya Ardija 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urawa Reds Omiya Ardija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Omiya Ardija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Urawa Reds scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Omiya Ardija's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Urawa Reds stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Urawa Reds VS Omiya Ardija
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Urawa Reds

(Home)
10 Oct
FC Tokyo
3 : 0
Urawa Reds
07 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2
Omiya Ardija
29 Sept
Toyama
2 : 3
Urawa Reds
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1
Verdy
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2
Okayama
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Omiya Ardija

(Away)
10 Oct
Omiya Ardija
3 : 1
Vanraure
07 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2
Omiya Ardija
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1
Kofu
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
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