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Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Saitama Stadium, Saitama
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
06:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Urawa Reds host V-Varen Nagasaki in the J1 League. Urawa Reds are expected to control this from the start. Urawa Reds have averaged 1.83 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against V-Varen Nagasaki's 1.14 scored and 1.71 conceded. Head-to-head, Urawa Reds have won 0 to V-Varen Nagasaki's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 22, 2024, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Urawa Reds. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Urawa Reds
20%
Draws
11%
V-Varen Nagasaki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urawa Reds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Urawa Reds carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Urawa Reds taking it.
  • Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 20%
V-Varen Nagasaki Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urawa Reds V-Varen Nagasaki
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.83 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2024 J.League Cup
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Urawa Reds
1:0
Aug 5, 2018 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki
0:0
Mar 10, 2018 J1 League
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Urawa Reds
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urawa Reds 85 / 100
V-Varen Nagasaki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urawa Reds V-Varen Nagasaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urawa Reds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urawa Reds's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

V-Varen Nagasaki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Urawa Reds remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

V-Varen Nagasaki lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Urawa Reds VS V-Varen Nagasaki
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Urawa Reds

(Home)
17 Oct
Mito
0 : 1
Urawa Reds
14 Oct
Yokohama FC
0 : 4
Urawa Reds
10 Oct
FC Tokyo
3 : 0
Urawa Reds
07 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2
Omiya Ardija
29 Sept
Toyama
2 : 3
Urawa Reds
Page 1 of 6

V-Varen Nagasaki

(Away)
17 Oct
Kashima Antlers
2 : 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
11 Oct
Chiba
1 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
07 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
19 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 10 7 2 1 25:6 23
2 Machida Zelvia 10 7 2 1 25:10 23
3 FC Tokyo 10 7 2 1 21:8 23
4 Vissel Kobe 10 7 1 2 17:9 22
5 Kashiwa Reysol 10 7 0 3 22:17 21
6 Kashima Antlers 10 6 1 3 21:16 19
7 Kawasaki Frontale 10 4 4 2 21:16 16
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 10 4 4 2 13:9 16
9 Urawa Reds 10 5 0 5 17:21 15
10 Shimizu S-Pulse 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
11 Okayama 10 4 1 5 12:15 13
12 Nagoya Grampus 10 4 0 6 12:16 12
13 Cerezo Osaka 10 3 3 4 9:16 12
14 Mito 10 2 3 5 12:14 9
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 10 2 3 5 11:18 9
16 Kyoto 10 2 2 6 11:19 8
17 Avispa Fukuoka 10 2 1 7 11:16 7
18 Gamba Osaka 10 1 4 5 10:18 7
19 Chiba 10 1 3 6 8:19 6
20 Verdy 10 0 4 6 4:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)