Sport Picks
Urawa Reds vs Verdy
Japan
J1 League 2026 Saitama Stadium, Saitama 
Match Events
22'
22'
Miyahara K.
26'
26'
Arai Y.
46'
46'
Sub
Arai Y. In: Matsuhashi Y.
Out: Arai Y.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League 2026 game between Urawa Reds and Verdy finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Verdy.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Very High Confidence
- Urawa Reds carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Urawa Reds's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 68%
Verdy Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Urawa Reds | Verdy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Verdy
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 J1 League
Verdy vs Urawa Reds
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 J1 League
Verdy vs Urawa Reds
0:0
May 3, 2025 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Verdy
2:0
Jan 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Urawa Reds vs Verdy
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Urawa Reds Compare
Top Goalscorer Hidano R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Verdy Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Urawa Reds 77 / 100
Verdy 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Urawa Reds Verdy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick URW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Urawa Reds found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Verdy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Verdy has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Urawa Reds VS Verdy
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Urawa Reds
(Home) 07 Aug
Gamba Osaka
4 : 3 Urawa Reds
01 Aug
Urawa Reds
2 : 2 Omiya Ardija
21 Jul
Urawa Reds
2 : 0 Fujieda MYFC
17 Jul
Ryukyu
5 : 4 Urawa Reds
06 Jun
Urawa Reds
0 : 2 Okayama
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Urawa Reds
2 : 2 Omiya Ardija
21 Jul
Urawa Reds
2 : 0 Fujieda MYFC
06 Jun
Urawa Reds
0 : 2 Okayama
16 May
Urawa Reds
0 : 1 FC Tokyo
02 May
Urawa Reds
2 : 0 Chiba
Page 1 of 3
Verdy
(Away) 06 Jun
Verdy
2 : 4 Gamba Osaka
30 May
Gamba Osaka
1 : 1 Verdy
24 May
Verdy
0 : 6 Yokohama F. Marinos
16 May
Mito
0 : 1 Verdy
13 May
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0 Verdy
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Gamba Osaka
1 : 1 Verdy
16 May
Mito
0 : 1 Verdy
13 May
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0 Verdy
10 May
FC Tokyo
2 : 1 Verdy
06 May
Kawasaki Frontale
1 : 0 Verdy
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 45 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 37 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Verdy | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Mito | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | 18 |
| 10 | Chiba | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | 12 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 28 |
| 6 | Okayama | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | 21 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
