Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Mizoguchi S.
24'
24'
Matheus S.
Assist: Kaneko T.
32'
32'
Matheus S.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League game between Urawa Reds and Verdy finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Urawa Reds.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urawa Reds
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Urawa Reds come out ahead of Verdy on wins alone.
- Urawa Reds are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 68%
Verdy Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Urawa Reds | Verdy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Verdy
3:1
Apr 12, 2026 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Verdy
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 J1 League
Verdy vs Urawa Reds
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 J1 League
Verdy vs Urawa Reds
0:0
May 3, 2025 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Verdy
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Urawa Reds Compare
Top Goalscorer Matheus S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Minamino H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Verdy Compare
Top Goalscorer Arai Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Urawa Reds 95 / 100
Verdy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Urawa Reds Verdy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Urawa Reds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Urawa Reds scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Verdy has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Urawa Reds remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Urawa Reds VS Verdy
2 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Urawa Reds
(Home) 19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1 Verdy
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2 Okayama
06 Sept
Kashima Antlers
0 : 1 Urawa Reds
02 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 3 Urawa Reds
29 Aug
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1 Verdy
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2 Okayama
29 Aug
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
26 Aug
Urawa Reds
3 : 0 Yamanashi Gakuin
15 Aug
Urawa Reds
1 : 4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Page 1 of 4
Verdy
(Away) 19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1 Verdy
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1 Chiba
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1 Verdy
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Verdy
02 Sept
Verdy
0 : 2 Vissel Kobe
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1 Verdy
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1 Verdy
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Verdy
22 Aug
Okayama
0 : 0 Verdy
30 May
Gamba Osaka
1 : 1 Verdy
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
