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Stadium Background

Urawa W vs Albirex Niigata W

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 Urawa Komaba Stadium, Saitama
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Takikawa Y.
12' Event
Shimada M.
16' Event
Takahashi T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Albirex Niigata W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Urawa W
33%
Draws
27%
Albirex Niigata W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Urawa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Albirex Niigata W haven't matched Urawa W's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Urawa W taking it.
  • Urawa W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Albirex Niigata W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Urawa W Clean Sheet 68%
Albirex Niigata W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urawa W Albirex Niigata W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Urawa W vs Albirex Niigata W
1:3
Dec 20, 2025 WE League Women
Urawa W vs Albirex Niigata W
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 WE League Cup Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Urawa W
2:3
Aug 17, 2025 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Urawa W
0:5
May 4, 2025 WE League Women
Urawa W vs Albirex Niigata W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urawa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shimada M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Albirex Niigata W Compare

Top Goalscorer Takikawa Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Takahashi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urawa W 50 / 100
Albirex Niigata W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urawa W Albirex Niigata W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urawa W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Albirex Niigata W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Urawa W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Urawa W VS Albirex Niigata W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Urawa W

(Home)
16 May
JEF United W
1 : 0
Urawa W
10 May
Urawa W
1 : 0
Beleza W
03 May
Urawa W
0 : 1
Mynavi Sendai W
26 Apr
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 0
Urawa W
04 Apr
C-Osaka W
2 : 3
Urawa W
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Albirex Niigata W

(Away)
16 May
Beleza W
2 : 1
Albirex Niigata W
09 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
02 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 0
Omiya Ardija W
26 Apr
Saitama W
1 : 2
Albirex Niigata W
05 Apr
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Omiya Ardija W640217:714
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima W650112:613
3Inac Kobe Leonesa W62048:136
4Saitama W61055:163
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Beleza W640210:714
2Mynavi Sendai W64025:312
3JEF United W64025:310
4AC Parceiro Nagano W60065:120
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1C-Osaka W64027:612
2Urawa W640213:1011
3Albirex Niigata W62047:87
4Nojima Stella W62048:116
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams