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Stadium Background

Urawa W vs Nojima Stella W

Japan Japan

WE League Women Urawa Komaba Stadium, Saitama
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Otake M.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Kikuchi M.
63' Event
Kawafune A.
Assist: Sakakibara K.

AI Match Summary

Urawa W in this WE League Women matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urawa W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Urawa W
15%
Draws
34%
Nojima Stella W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urawa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Urawa W have won more games recently than Nojima Stella W.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Urawa W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Urawa W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Urawa W Clean Sheet 16%
Nojima Stella W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urawa W Nojima Stella W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 0 3
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 WE League Women
Urawa W vs Nojima Stella W
5:1
Mar 29, 2026 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs Urawa W
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Nojima Stella W vs Urawa W
2:4
Nov 30, 2025 WE League Cup Women
Urawa W vs Nojima Stella W
3:2
Oct 11, 2025 WE League Women
Urawa W vs Nojima Stella W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urawa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kikuchi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kawafune A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nojima Stella W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urawa W 84 / 100
Nojima Stella W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urawa W Nojima Stella W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urawa W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Urawa W scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Nojima Stella W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Urawa W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Urawa W VS Nojima Stella W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Urawa W

(Home)
23 Sept
Urawa W
2 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
20 Sept
Urawa W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
12 Sept
JEF United W
3 : 2
Urawa W
05 Sept
Urawa W
3 : 1
Beleza W
30 Aug
Urawa W
5 : 1
Nojima Stella W
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Nojima Stella W

(Away)
23 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
19 Sept
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
1 : 2
Nojima Stella W
12 Sept
Nojima Stella W
2 : 0
Mynavi Sendai W
06 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 4
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
30 Aug
Urawa W
5 : 1
Nojima Stella W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urawa W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
3 Beleza W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 C-Osaka W 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
6 Albirex Niigata W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
7 Saitama W 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
8 JEF United W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
9 Mynavi Sendai W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
10 Omiya Ardija W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
11 Nojima Stella W 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Main)