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Urawa W vs Omiya Ardija W

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kadowaki M.
58' Event
Tanno R.
64' Event
Oshima H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Urawa W
15%
Draws
42%
Omiya Ardija W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urawa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Omiya Ardija W haven't matched Urawa W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Urawa W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Urawa W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Omiya Ardija W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Urawa W Clean Sheet 20%
Omiya Ardija W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urawa W Omiya Ardija W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 0 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.1 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Urawa W vs Omiya Ardija W
1:2
Aug 22, 2026 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Urawa W
0:1
Apr 26, 2026 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Urawa W
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 WE League Women
Urawa W vs Omiya Ardija W
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Urawa W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urawa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanno R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Omiya Ardija W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadowaki M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oshima H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urawa W 67 / 100
Omiya Ardija W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urawa W Omiya Ardija W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urawa W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urawa W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Omiya Ardija W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Urawa W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Urawa W VS Omiya Ardija W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Urawa W

(Home)
23 Sept
Urawa W
2 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
20 Sept
Urawa W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
12 Sept
JEF United W
3 : 2
Urawa W
05 Sept
Urawa W
3 : 1
Beleza W
30 Aug
Urawa W
5 : 1
Nojima Stella W
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Omiya Ardija W

(Away)
23 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
Mynavi Sendai W
20 Sept
Urawa W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
13 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
05 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 1
Albirex Niigata W
29 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
2 : 0
Omiya Ardija W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JEF United W 4 4 0 0 9:5 11
2 Nojima Stella W 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Beleza W 4 3 0 1 9:6 9
4 Saitama W 4 3 0 1 7:5 7
5 Omiya Ardija W 4 2 0 2 6:5 7
6 Mynavi Sendai W 4 2 0 2 4:5 7
7 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
8 C-Osaka W 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
9 Albirex Niigata W 4 2 0 2 6:6 5
10 Urawa W 4 1 0 3 6:7 4
11 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 4 0 0 4 5:11 0
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)