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Urduliz FT vs Gernika Club

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Club Friendly 2024
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AI Match Summary

Urduliz FT play Gernika Club in the Club Friendly 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Urduliz FT averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Gernika Club averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Urduliz FT won 1, Gernika Club won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 14, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Urduliz FT and 1.24 for Gernika Club. This points to a Gernika Club double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Urduliz FT
32%
Draws
37%
Gernika Club
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Gernika Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Urduliz FT picked up more points recently compared to Gernika Club.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Urduliz FT Clean Sheet 19%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urduliz FT Gernika Club
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Urduliz FT vs Gernika Club
0:0
May 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Urduliz FT
3:1
Apr 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Gernika Club
1:2
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Gernika Club
0:0
Oct 26, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Urduliz FT
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urduliz FT 32 / 100
Gernika Club 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urduliz FT Gernika Club

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gernika Club or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Urduliz FT attacking → ← attacking Gernika Club

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urduliz FT scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Gernika Club let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Urduliz FT went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gernika Club lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 39
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00