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Urduliz FT vs Lagun Onak

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Zeziaga J.
44' Event
Odriozola U.

AI Match Summary

Lagun Onak in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lagun Onak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Urduliz FT
30%
Draws
23%
Lagun Onak
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Urduliz FT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lagun Onak have won more games recently than Urduliz FT.
  • Model gives Urduliz FT a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Urduliz FT Clean Sheet 20%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urduliz FT Lagun Onak
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Lagun Onak
0:2
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Urduliz FT
2:1
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Urduliz FT
0:1
Sep 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Lagun Onak
0:0
Feb 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Urduliz FT
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urduliz FT Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Lagun Onak Compare

Top Goalscorer Zeziaga J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Odriozola U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urduliz FT 42 / 100
Lagun Onak 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urduliz FT Lagun Onak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urduliz FT scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Lagun Onak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Urduliz FT has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lagun Onak
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Urduliz FT

(Home)
10 May
Urduliz FT
0 : 0
Beasain
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 2
Urduliz FT
27 Apr
Urduliz FT
2 : 0
San Ignacio
17 Apr
Basconia
8 : 0
Urduliz FT
12 Apr
Urduliz FT
3 : 1
Leioa
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Lagun Onak

(Away)
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2
Beasain
24 May
Derio
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
17 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 0
Derio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basconia 34 23 7 4 89:32 76
2 Portugalete 34 19 13 2 66:29 70
3 Leioa 34 20 6 8 55:34 66
4 Beasain 34 19 7 8 53:34 64
5 SD Deusto 34 15 9 10 43:35 54
6 Alaves C 34 14 6 14 41:41 48
7 Touring KE 34 13 9 12 39:45 48
8 Derio 34 12 11 11 39:39 47
9 Eibar C 34 12 10 12 46:51 46
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 12 8 14 40:45 44
11 Lagun Onak 34 11 9 14 44:49 42
12 San Ignacio 34 11 9 14 32:41 42
13 SCD Durango 34 9 13 12 43:37 40
14 Pasaia 34 10 9 15 45:60 39
15 Santurtzi 34 8 14 12 46:43 38
16 Urduliz FT 34 9 9 16 37:56 36
17 Padura 34 7 8 19 31:48 29
18 San Viator 34 1 5 28 21:91 8
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 (Play Offs)