Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
SD Deusto in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Deusto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Deusto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to SD Deusto lately — more wins on the board than Urgatzi.
- Model gives SD Deusto a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Urgatzi Clean Sheet 25%
SD Deusto Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Urgatzi | SD Deusto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 25 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.53 | 0.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.03 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urgatzi vs SD Deusto
0:2
Oct 31, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Urgatzi
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Urgatzi 10 / 100
SD Deusto 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Urgatzi SD Deusto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SD Deusto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SD Deusto let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: SD Deusto registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Urgatzi scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS SD Deusto
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Urgatzi
(Home) 12 Jun
SCD Durango
1 : 0 Urgatzi
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2 Sodupe
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1 Urgatzi
23 May
Urgatzi
0 : 2 Lagun Onak
15 May
Santurtzi
4 : 1 Urgatzi
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05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2 Sodupe
23 May
Urgatzi
0 : 2 Lagun Onak
08 May
Urgatzi
1 : 4 SCD Durango
24 Apr
Urgatzi
1 : 1 CD Ariznabarra
11 Apr
Urgatzi
0 : 3 Santurtzi
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SD Deusto
(Away) 09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1 SD Deusto
03 May
SD Deusto
1 : 3 Leioa
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0 SD Deusto
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0 Anorga
11 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 1 SD Deusto
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09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1 SD Deusto
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0 SD Deusto
11 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 1 SD Deusto
29 Mar
Zamudio
2 : 0 SD Deusto
15 Mar
Real Sociedad C
1 : 0 SD Deusto
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gernika Club | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad C | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 48:27 | 40 |
| 3 | Sestao | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 40:13 | 39 |
| 4 | SD Deusto | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 30:24 | 36 |
| 5 | Santutxu FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20:23 | 29 |
| 6 | Beasain | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 20:14 | 27 |
| 7 | Tolosa | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | 24 |
| 8 | Aurrera Ondarroa | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23:31 | 20 |
| 9 | Balmaseda | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 22:27 | 18 |
| 10 | Somorrostro | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20:31 | 17 |
| 11 | Urgatzi | 20 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11:62 | 10 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Vitoria | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 20:4 | 35 |
| 2 | Urduliz FT | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 28:18 | 35 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 22:14 | 34 |
| 4 | Basconia | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 24:15 | 30 |
| 5 | Anaitasuna FT | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 20:19 | 30 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19:19 | 29 |
| 7 | Santurtzi | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 18:27 | 23 |
| 8 | SCD Durango | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 10 | CD Ariznabarra | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 12:28 | 16 |
| 11 | Lagun Onak | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17:31 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
