Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Urgatzi in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urgatzi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Somorrostro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Somorrostro have won more games recently than Urgatzi.
- Win probability leans Somorrostro's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Urgatzi Clean Sheet 10%
Somorrostro Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Urgatzi | Somorrostro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 9 |
| Losses | 25 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.53 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.03 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urgatzi vs Somorrostro
1:0
Dec 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Urgatzi
5:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Urgatzi 10 / 100
Somorrostro 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Urgatzi Somorrostro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Somorrostro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Somorrostro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Attacking prowess: Urgatzi scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.
Difficult form: Somorrostro registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Urgatzi VS Somorrostro
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Urgatzi
(Home) 12 Jun
SCD Durango
1 : 0 Urgatzi
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2 Sodupe
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1 Urgatzi
23 May
Urgatzi
0 : 2 Lagun Onak
15 May
Santurtzi
4 : 1 Urgatzi
Page 1 of 6
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2 Sodupe
23 May
Urgatzi
0 : 2 Lagun Onak
08 May
Urgatzi
1 : 4 SCD Durango
24 Apr
Urgatzi
1 : 1 CD Ariznabarra
11 Apr
Urgatzi
0 : 3 Santurtzi
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Somorrostro
(Away) 29 Aug
Santurtzi
1 : 3 Somorrostro
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3 Somorrostro
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1 CD Ariznabarra
29 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1 Somorrostro
22 May
Somorrostro
3 : 0 Santurtzi
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Santurtzi
1 : 3 Somorrostro
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3 Somorrostro
29 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1 Somorrostro
15 May
SCD Durango
0 : 0 Somorrostro
02 May
CD Ariznabarra
4 : 2 Somorrostro
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gernika Club | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad C | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 48:27 | 40 |
| 3 | Sestao | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 40:13 | 39 |
| 4 | SD Deusto | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 30:24 | 36 |
| 5 | Santutxu FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20:23 | 29 |
| 6 | Beasain | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 20:14 | 27 |
| 7 | Tolosa | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | 24 |
| 8 | Aurrera Ondarroa | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23:31 | 20 |
| 9 | Balmaseda | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 22:27 | 18 |
| 10 | Somorrostro | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20:31 | 17 |
| 11 | Urgatzi | 20 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11:62 | 10 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Vitoria | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 20:4 | 35 |
| 2 | Urduliz FT | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 28:18 | 35 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 22:14 | 34 |
| 4 | Basconia | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 24:15 | 30 |
| 5 | Anaitasuna FT | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 20:19 | 30 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19:19 | 29 |
| 7 | Santurtzi | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 18:27 | 23 |
| 8 | SCD Durango | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 10 | CD Ariznabarra | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 12:28 | 16 |
| 11 | Lagun Onak | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17:31 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
