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Uribelarrea vs Alumni Los Hornos

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Promocional Amateur game between Uribelarrea and Alumni Los Hornos finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alumni Los Hornos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Uribelarrea
22%
Draws
18%
Alumni Los Hornos
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Uribelarrea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Uribelarrea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Uribelarrea's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Uribelarrea Clean Sheet 20%
Alumni Los Hornos Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uribelarrea Alumni Los Hornos
Matches Played 8 8
Wins 3 2
Draws 3 2
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 0.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Uribelarrea vs Alumni Los Hornos
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uribelarrea 58 / 100
Alumni Los Hornos 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uribelarrea Alumni Los Hornos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alumni Los Hornos let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Uribelarrea has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Alumni Los Hornos has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Uribelarrea scored in 38% of their last 8 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uribelarrea VS Alumni Los Hornos
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Social Atletico Television760111:218
2Deportivo Metalurgico751112:416
3Nautico Hacoaj742110:314
4Defensores de Glew732214:711
5Estrella de Berisso72236:108
6Provincial72057:126
7Atletico Pilar71155:124
8Juventud de Bernal71064:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barrancas85129:616
2Academia Control Orientado842211:814
3Uribelarrea83325:312
4Ezeiza83327:712
5Belgrano Zarate82424:410
6Buenos Aires City82336:69
7Everton La Plata82245:78
8Alumni Los Hornos82245:78
9Las Mandarinas82246:108