Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Buis T.
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between Urk and Ajax (Am) finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ajax (Am).
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Urk carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Urk's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Urk Clean Sheet 12%
Ajax (Am) Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Urk | Ajax (Am) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.81 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
Urk vs Ajax (Am)
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs Urk
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Urk Compare
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Ajax (Am) Compare
Top Goalscorer Buis T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Urk 83 / 100
Ajax (Am) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Urk Ajax (Am)
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Urk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ajax (Am)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Difficult form: Ajax (Am) registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Urk scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Urk VS Ajax (Am)
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Urk
(Home) 23 May
Urk
1 : 2 Excelsior 31
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
09 May
Urk
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
02 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 3 Urk
25 Apr
Genemuiden
3 : 0 Urk
Page 1 of 7
23 May
Urk
1 : 2 Excelsior 31
09 May
Urk
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
18 Apr
Urk
3 : 3 Huizen
28 Mar
Urk
4 : 5 Sparta Nijkerk
14 Mar
Urk
4 : 0 VV Hoogeveen
Page 1 of 3
Ajax (Am)
(Away) 02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0 Ajax (Am)
29 Jul
Ajax (Am)
3 : 4 Jong Almere City
04 Jun
Ajax (Am)
0 : 1 Kampong
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2 Ajax (Am)
24 May
Genemuiden
1 : 0 Ajax (Am)
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0 Ajax (Am)
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2 Ajax (Am)
24 May
Genemuiden
1 : 0 Ajax (Am)
10 May
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 1 Ajax (Am)
19 Apr
DVS '33 Ermelo
4 : 2 Ajax (Am)
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
