Sport Picks
Ursaria vs Navalcarnero Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Ursaria in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ursaria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Navalcarnero average 1.39 goals a game right now, well clear of Ursaria's 0.97.
- 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ursaria | Navalcarnero |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ursaria Compare
Navalcarnero Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Navalcarnero let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
Ursaria scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Ursaria has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ursaria
(Home)Navalcarnero
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 46:27 | 61 |
| 2 | San Sebastian Reyes | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 61:26 | 61 |
| 3 | Numancia | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 51:39 | 60 |
| 4 | Getafe B | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 41:32 | 57 |
| 5 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 28:21 | 56 |
| 6 | Cacereno | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 7 | Union Adarve | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 44:44 | 48 |
| 8 | Navalcarnero | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 34:35 | 46 |
| 9 | CF Talavera | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 31:27 | 46 |
| 10 | Guadalajara | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 46:53 | 46 |
| 11 | Villanovense | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 35:35 | 44 |
| 12 | Ursaria | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 13 | Illescas | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 14 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:36 | 44 |
| 15 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 31:43 | 38 |
| 16 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 35:39 | 37 |
| 17 | Mensajero | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 28:58 | 25 |
| 18 | Montijo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 28:58 | 23 |
