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Stadium Background

Ursus Warszawa vs Oskar Przysucha

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group VI
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group VI game between Ursus Warszawa and Oskar Przysucha finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ursus Warszawa
6%
Draws
4%
Oskar Przysucha
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ursus Warszawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oskar Przysucha come out ahead of Ursus Warszawa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ursus Warszawa a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ursus Warszawa Clean Sheet 20%
Oskar Przysucha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ursus Warszawa Oskar Przysucha
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2016 III Liga - Group VI
Ursus Warszawa vs Oskar Przysucha
2:2
Oct 3, 2015 III Liga - Group VI
Oskar Przysucha vs Ursus Warszawa
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ursus Warszawa 85 / 100
Oskar Przysucha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ursus Warszawa Oskar Przysucha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oskar Przysucha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Ursus Warszawa scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: Ursus Warszawa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ursus Warszawa VS Oskar Przysucha
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa34215862:2568
2Ursus Warszawa34198756:2665
3Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz341811553:2465
4Tomaszow Mazowiecki34198779:3765
5Legia II34198766:3865
6LKS Lodz34197871:3764
7Pelikan341810658:2964
8Swit Mazowiecki341712561:2763
9Blekitni Raciaz341581156:5253
10Warta Sieradz341271543:4643
11Bron Radom349101551:7037
12Warta Dzialoszyn341051933:8235
13Pilica Bialobrzegi341042048:6034
14Oskar Przysucha34781942:7829
15Energia Kozienice34691941:6427
16Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki34691936:6027
17Otwock34642424:8622
18Ner Poddebice34492131:7021