Sport Picks
Ursus Warszawa vs Pilica Bialobrzegi
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
Ursus Warszawa play Pilica Bialobrzegi in the III Liga - Group I 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ursus Warszawa averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2 conceded. Pilica Bialobrzegi averaged 1 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Ursus Warszawa won 3, Pilica Bialobrzegi won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 15, 2023 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Ursus Warszawa and 1.50 for Pilica Bialobrzegi. This points to a Ursus Warszawa double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ursus Warszawa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pilica Bialobrzegi.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Ursus Warszawa.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ursus Warszawa | Pilica Bialobrzegi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ursus Warszawa Compare
Pilica Bialobrzegi Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ursus Warszawa scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Pilica Bialobrzegi let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Ursus Warszawa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Pilica Bialobrzegi lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS Lodz II | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76:41 | 68 |
| 2 | Legionowo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 71:43 | 64 |
| 3 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62:39 | 64 |
| 4 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:45 | 61 |
| 5 | Legia II | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 66:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 7 | Unia Skierniewice | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41:38 | 53 |
| 8 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 83:71 | 52 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 65:54 | 49 |
| 10 | Pilica Bialobrzegi | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 53:55 | 45 |
| 11 | Pelikan | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:52 | 45 |
| 12 | Sokol Ostroda | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 49:71 | 36 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:63 | 36 |
| 14 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 60:76 | 35 |
| 15 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:53 | 34 |
| 16 | Concordia Elblag | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38:61 | 33 |
| 17 | Blonianka Blonie | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 35:68 | 30 |
| 18 | Ursus Warszawa | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 42:72 | 25 |