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Stadium Background

Ursus Warszawa vs Wysokie Mazowieckie

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Grochowski M.
Own Goal
68' Event
Grzybowski L.
(Penalty)
73' Event
Pyrzyna O.

AI Match Summary

Ursus Warszawa in this III Liga - Group I 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ursus Warszawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ursus Warszawa
11%
Draws
9%
Wysokie Mazowieckie
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ursus Warszawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Wysokie Mazowieckie haven't matched Ursus Warszawa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ursus Warszawa a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ursus Warszawa Clean Sheet 12%
Wysokie Mazowieckie Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ursus Warszawa Wysokie Mazowieckie
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 3
Draws 6 9
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 2.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Ursus Warszawa vs Wysokie Mazowieckie
2:1
Nov 15, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Wysokie Mazowieckie vs Ursus Warszawa
5:1
May 13, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Ursus Warszawa vs Wysokie Mazowieckie
0:0
Oct 6, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Wysokie Mazowieckie vs Ursus Warszawa
1:1
Mar 24, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Wysokie Mazowieckie vs Ursus Warszawa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ursus Warszawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Pyrzyna O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Wysokie Mazowieckie Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ursus Warszawa 74 / 100
Wysokie Mazowieckie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ursus Warszawa Wysokie Mazowieckie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Wysokie Mazowieckie conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Ursus Warszawa's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Ursus Warszawa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ursus Warszawa VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ursus Warszawa

(Home)
15 Feb
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1
Ursus Warszawa
08 Feb
Ursus Warszawa
4 : 1
Mszczonowianka Mszczonow
01 Feb
Ursus Warszawa
2 : 6
Victoria Sulejowek
20 Jul
LKS Lomza
0 : 0
Ursus Warszawa
17 Feb
Warta Sieradz
2 : 0
Ursus Warszawa
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Wysokie Mazowieckie

(Away)
31 Aug
Wysokie Mazowieckie
0 : 4
Slask Wroclaw
18 Jun
Huragan Morag
6 : 4
Wysokie Mazowieckie
12 Jun
Pelikan
3 : 1
Wysokie Mazowieckie
03 Jun
Wysokie Mazowieckie
0 : 1
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
29 May
Wasilkow
0 : 0
Wysokie Mazowieckie
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