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URT vs Ipatinga

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

65'
Allison
65'
Allison
71' Event
Danilo Pereira

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2025 game between URT and Ipatinga finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward URT.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
URT
15%
Draws
34%
Ipatinga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: URT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and URT come out ahead of Ipatinga on wins alone.
  • URT are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
URT Clean Sheet 20%
Ipatinga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric URT Ipatinga
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.03 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Mineiro 2
Ipatinga vs URT
0:0
Jul 5, 2025 Mineiro 2
URT vs Ipatinga
1:0
Apr 12, 2009 Mineiro 2
URT vs Ipatinga
2:1
Feb 25, 2009 Mineiro 2
Ipatinga vs URT
3:0
Feb 25, 2006 Mineiro
Ipatinga vs URT
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

URT Compare

Top Goalscorer Danilo Pereira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ipatinga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

URT 85 / 100
Ipatinga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
URT Ipatinga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

URT scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Ipatinga let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Ipatinga registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

URT VS Ipatinga
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 3.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

URT

(Home)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
28 Feb
URT
3 : 1
Tombense
20 Feb
Tombense
0 : 1
URT
14 Feb
URT
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
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Ipatinga

(Away)
11 Jul
Ipatinga
3 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
04 Jul
Democrata SL
5 : 0
Ipatinga
01 Jul
Ipatinga
1 : 4
Aymores
27 Jun
Villa Nova AC
6 : 0
Ipatinga
23 Jun
Valeriodoce
1 : 1
Ipatinga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 URT 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Ipatinga 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
3 Mamore 4 0 1 3 0:3 1
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Super final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Esporte Clube 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
2 Democrata SL 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
3 Patrocinense 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Super final)