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Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Atenas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Vigo F.
(Penalty)
81'
Goyeni d. A. M. A.
90' Event
Milan F.

AI Match Summary

Atenas in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atenas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Uruguay Montevideo FC
35%
Draws
58%
Atenas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atenas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atenas lately — more wins on the board than Uruguay Montevideo FC.
  • Atenas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Atenas have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Uruguay Montevideo FC Clean Sheet 16%
Atenas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay Montevideo FC Atenas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Atenas
1:2
May 8, 2026 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
2:1
Mar 31, 2026 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Atenas
1:2
May 25, 2025 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay Montevideo FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Atenas Compare

Top Goalscorer Milan F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay Montevideo FC 10 / 100
Atenas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay Montevideo FC Atenas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atenas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uruguay Montevideo FC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Atenas let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Uruguay Montevideo FC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay Montevideo FC VS Atenas
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay Montevideo FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3
Colon
04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3
Rentistas
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
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Atenas

(Away)
03 Oct
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Atenas
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3
Atenas
19 Sept
La Luz
0 : 1
Atenas
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 21 8 8 5 29:22 32
4 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
5 River Plate Montevideo 21 8 6 7 31:26 30
6 Colon 21 8 6 7 20:23 30
7 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
8 Cerrito 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
10 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
11 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 21 4 5 12 19:31 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)