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Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Colon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uruguay Montevideo FC host Colon in the Segunda Division. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Uruguay Montevideo FC at 1 goals for, 1.28 against; Colon at 1.07 for, 1.24 against. Head-to-head, Uruguay Montevideo FC have won 0 to Colon's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.31, favoring Colon. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Uruguay Montevideo FC
30%
Draws
47%
Colon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colon lately — more wins on the board than Uruguay Montevideo FC.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Uruguay Montevideo FC taking it.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Colon have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Uruguay Montevideo FC Clean Sheet 18%
Colon Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay Montevideo FC Colon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Segunda Division
Colon vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Colon
0:1
Jul 5, 2025 Segunda Division
Colon vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
5:1
Nov 10, 2024 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Colon
0:1
Jul 22, 2024 Segunda Division
Colon vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay Montevideo FC 41 / 100
Colon 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay Montevideo FC Colon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uruguay Montevideo FC found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Colon let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Colon lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay Montevideo FC VS Colon
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay Montevideo FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3
Rentistas
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
07 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
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Colon

(Away)
04 Oct
Colon
0 : 0
Club Oriental De Futbol
26 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 0
Colon
23 Sept
Liverpool M.
3 : 0
Colon
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
Colon
13 Sept
Colon
0 : 1
Rentistas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 21 8 8 5 29:22 32
4 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
5 River Plate Montevideo 21 8 6 7 31:26 30
6 Colon 21 8 6 7 20:23 30
7 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
8 Cerrito 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
10 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
11 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 21 4 5 12 19:31 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)