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Uruguay Montevideo FC vs La Luz

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Uruguay Montevideo FC and La Luz finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Uruguay Montevideo FC
30%
Draws
47%
La Luz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Luz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Uruguay Montevideo FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 23% — that's where the model lands on Uruguay Montevideo FC taking it.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Uruguay Montevideo FC Clean Sheet 68%
La Luz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay Montevideo FC La Luz
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 6
Draws 10 13
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs La Luz
0:0
May 24, 2026 Segunda Division
La Luz vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
2:0
Apr 11, 2026 Segunda Division
La Luz vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs La Luz
0:0
Jul 19, 2025 Segunda Division
La Luz vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay Montevideo FC 77 / 100
La Luz 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay Montevideo FC La Luz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uruguay Montevideo FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uruguay Montevideo FC's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

La Luz's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

La Luz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay Montevideo FC VS La Luz
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay Montevideo FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3
Rentistas
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
07 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
29 Aug
Uruguay Montevideo FC
0 : 0
La Luz
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La Luz

(Away)
19 Sept
La Luz
0 : 1
Atenas
12 Sept
Paysandu FC
0 : 1
La Luz
04 Sept
La Luz
1 : 3
Huracan FC
29 Aug
Uruguay Montevideo FC
0 : 0
La Luz
23 Aug
La Luz
0 : 2
Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 19 11 3 5 29:18 36
2 Club Oriental De Futbol 20 8 7 5 29:22 31
3 Plaza Colonia 19 9 4 6 25:18 31
4 River Plate Montevideo 20 8 6 6 29:23 30
5 Rentistas 20 8 6 6 24:22 30
6 Colon 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
7 Cerrito 19 6 8 5 23:21 26
8 Fenix 20 6 8 6 25:24 26
9 Paysandu FC 19 7 3 9 24:25 24
10 Huracan FC 19 6 5 8 19:25 23
11 Tacuarembo 19 6 5 8 14:20 23
12 Miramar 19 5 7 7 21:24 22
13 La Luz 19 5 6 8 14:21 21
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 20 4 5 11 19:29 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)