Sport Picks
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Rentistas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Segunda Division 
Match Events
31'
31'
Sanchez C.
42'
42'
Bittencourt D.
66'
66'
Rodriguez L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Segunda Division game between Uruguay Montevideo FC and Rentistas finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rentistas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rentistas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Rentistas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Rentistas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Uruguay Montevideo FC Clean Sheet 16%
Rentistas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uruguay Montevideo FC | Rentistas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Rentistas
1:3
Jun 21, 2026 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
1:3
Jul 26, 2025 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Rentistas
1:3
Mar 29, 2025 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Rentistas
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uruguay Montevideo FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Rentistas Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bittencourt D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Uruguay Montevideo FC 23 / 100
Rentistas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Uruguay Montevideo FC Rentistas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rentistas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Uruguay Montevideo FC's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Rentistas conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Rentistas lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Uruguay Montevideo FC VS Rentistas
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Uruguay Montevideo FC
(Home) 10 Oct
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3 Colon
04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3 Rentistas
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2 Tacuarembo
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3 Colon
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3 Rentistas
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2 Tacuarembo
29 Aug
Uruguay Montevideo FC
0 : 0 La Luz
15 Aug
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 2 Atenas
Page 1 of 4
Rentistas
(Away) 10 Oct
Paysandu FC
2 : 1 Rentistas
03 Oct
Rentistas
2 : 1 Huracan FC
30 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 0 Rentistas
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3 Rentistas
20 Sept
Rentistas
0 : 2 Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Paysandu FC
2 : 1 Rentistas
30 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 0 Rentistas
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3 Rentistas
13 Sept
Colon
0 : 1 Rentistas
30 Aug
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 0 Rentistas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 30:18 | 40 |
| 2 | River Plate Montevideo | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 34:27 | 33 |
| 3 | Rentistas | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 27:25 | 33 |
| 4 | Colon | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 23:24 | 33 |
| 5 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 32 |
| 6 | Plaza Colonia | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:21 | 32 |
| 7 | Cerrito | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29:25 | 32 |
| 8 | Fenix | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 9 | Paysandu FC | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:29 | 28 |
| 10 | La Luz | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19:24 | 27 |
| 11 | Huracan FC | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:28 | 26 |
| 12 | Miramar | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23:26 | 25 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17:25 | 24 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo FC | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20:34 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)
