Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uruguay U17 vs Venezuela U17

South America South America

South American Championship U17 Estadio Ameliano, Villeta
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Gancheff J.
45'
Lozada R.
46'
Sub
Barrios J. In: Garcia P.
Out: Barrios J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Uruguay U17
15%
Draws
26%
Venezuela U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uruguay U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Venezuela U17 lately — more wins on the board than Uruguay U17.
  • Uruguay U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Venezuela U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uruguay U17, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Uruguay U17 Clean Sheet 19%
Venezuela U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay U17 Venezuela U17
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 South American Championship U17
Uruguay U17 vs Venezuela U17
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 South American Championship U17
Venezuela U17 vs Uruguay U17
2:2
Apr 24, 2013 South American Championship U17
Venezuela U17 vs Uruguay U17
1:1
Apr 25, 2009 South American Championship U17
Venezuela U17 vs Uruguay U17
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gancheff J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scotti N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Venezuela U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay U17 85 / 100
Venezuela U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay U17 Venezuela U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uruguay U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uruguay U17 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Venezuela U17 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Uruguay U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay U17 VS Venezuela U17
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay U17

(Home)
18 Apr
Uruguay U17
2 : 3
Chile U17
16 Apr
Uruguay U17
3 : 0
Venezuela U17
09 Apr
Colombia U17
0 : 2
Uruguay U17
07 Apr
Ecuador U17
2 : 1
Uruguay U17
05 Apr
Uruguay U17
1 : 1
Paraguay U17
Page 1 of 6

Venezuela U17

(Away)
23 Aug
Brazil U17
3 : 0
Venezuela U17
20 Aug
Brazil U17
2 : 1
Venezuela U17
18 Apr
Venezuela U17
1 : 0
Bolivia U17
16 Apr
Uruguay U17
3 : 0
Venezuela U17
12 Apr
Brazil U17
1 : 0
Venezuela U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Uruguay U17 2
Chile U17 3
Venezuela U17 1
Bolivia U17 0
Semi-finals
Uruguay U17 3
Venezuela U17 0
Bolivia U17 0
Chile U17 4