Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uruguay U23 vs Peru U23

World World

Olympic Games
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Burlamaqui A.
44' Event
Rodriguez L.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Homenchenko S.
Assist: De Los Santos J.

AI Match Summary

Uruguay U23 in this Olympic Games matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uruguay U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Uruguay U23
20%
Draws
40%
Peru U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Peru U23 haven't matched Uruguay U23's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Uruguay U23's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Uruguay U23 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Uruguay U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Peru U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay U23 Peru U23
Matches Played 27 20
Wins 11 5
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.37 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2024 Olympic Games
Uruguay U23 vs Peru U23
3:0
Jan 28, 2020 Olympic Games
Peru U23 vs Uruguay U23
0:1
Jul 30, 2019 Pan American Games
Uruguay U23 vs Peru U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Homenchenko S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Peru U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay U23 49 / 100
Peru U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay U23 Peru U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uruguay U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peru U23 let in goals in 85% of their last 20 matches.

Attacking prowess: Uruguay U23 scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Peru U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay U23 VS Peru U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay U23

(Home)
02 Feb
Argentina U23
3 : 3
Uruguay U23
30 Jan
Uruguay U23
3 : 0
Peru U23
27 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 1
Chile U23
24 Jan
Paraguay U23
4 : 3
Uruguay U23
16 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 2
Banfield
Page 1 of 6

Peru U23

(Away)
30 Jan
Uruguay U23
3 : 0
Peru U23
27 Jan
Paraguay U23
1 : 0
Peru U23
24 Jan
Peru U23
0 : 2
Argentina U23
21 Jan
Peru U23
1 : 0
Chile U23
22 Dec
Peru U23
1 : 1
Bolivia U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
2 Venezuela U23 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Ecuador U23 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
4 Bolivia U23 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Colombia U23 4 0 0 4 0:8 0
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U23 4 2 2 0 11:4 8
2 Paraguay U23 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
3 Chile U23 4 2 0 2 3:7 6
4 Uruguay U23 4 1 1 2 9:8 4
5 Peru U23 4 1 0 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)