Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Akron

Spain

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uruguay play Spain in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uruguay averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Spain averaged 2.53 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Uruguay won 0, Spain won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.60 for Uruguay and 1.78 for Spain. This points to a Spain double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Uruguay

28%

Draws

46%

Spain

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Spain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Uruguay picked up more points recently compared to Spain.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.60 vs 1.78 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Uruguay Clean Sheet 11%

Spain Clean Sheet 21%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uruguay	Spain
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	23
Draws	13	6
Losses	6	1
Goals Scored	1.17	2.53
Goals Conceded	0.77	0.83
Expected Goals (xG)	0.71	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.43	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 World Championship

Uruguay vs Spain

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Jun 16, 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup

Spain vs Uruguay

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 0 - 4

2:1

Feb 6, 2013 Friendly International

Spain vs Uruguay

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

3:1

Aug 17, 2005 Friendly International

Spain vs Uruguay

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Jan 18, 1995 Friendly International

Spain vs Uruguay

Possession: 60% - 53% Cards: 1 - 0

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55

Avg xA / game 0.35

Spain Compare

Top Goalscorer Baena A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay 26 / 100

Spain 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uruguay Spain

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spain or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uruguay attacking → ← attacking Spain

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uruguay scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Spain let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Uruguay went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Spain lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 75

0.71 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

1.43 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6:0	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2:3	4
3	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2:3	3
4	Czech Republic	3	0	1	2	2:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7:3	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8:3	4
3	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5:6	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2:10	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7:1	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6:3	7
3	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1:4	3
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8:4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
3	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2:4	4
4	Turkey	3	1	0	2	3:5	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10:4	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4:2	6
3	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
4	Curacao	3	0	1	2	1:9	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10:4	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7:3	5
3	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7:7	4
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6:2	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5:3	5
3	Iran	3	0	3	0	3:3	3
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4:10	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5:0	7
2	Cape Verde	3	0	3	0	2:2	3
3	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3:4	2
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1:5	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10:2	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8:7	6
3	Senegal	3	1	2	8:6	3
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8:1	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6:6	4
3	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5:7	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4:1	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6:1	5
3	D.R. Congo	3	1	1	1	4:3	4
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5:5	6
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0:4	0