Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uruguay W vs Ecuador W

South America South America

CONMEBOL Nations League Women Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Viera J.
46'
Sub
Oxandabarat S. In: Paz A.
Out: Oxandabarat S.
65'
Sub
Valencia Y. In: Flores K.
Out: Valencia Y.

AI Match Summary

The CONMEBOL Nations League Women game between Uruguay W and Ecuador W finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Uruguay W
20%
Draws
51%
Ecuador W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ecuador W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ecuador W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Uruguay W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Uruguay W Clean Sheet 16%
Ecuador W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay W Ecuador W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Friendly International Women
Ecuador W vs Uruguay W
1:1
Mar 4, 2026 Friendly International Women
Ecuador W vs Uruguay W
2:3
Dec 2, 2025 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Uruguay W vs Ecuador W
0:0
Jul 12, 2025 Copa América Women
Ecuador W vs Uruguay W
2:2
Feb 27, 2024 Friendly International Women
Uruguay W vs Ecuador W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay W 36 / 100
Ecuador W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay W Ecuador W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uruguay W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Ecuador W let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Uruguay W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay W VS Ecuador W
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay W

(Home)
09 Jun
Uruguay W
1 : 1
Venezuela W
05 Jun
Colombia W
1 : 0
Uruguay W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
14 Apr
Bolivia W
1 : 2
Uruguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

Ecuador W

(Away)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Chile W
1 : 2
Ecuador W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
10 Apr
Paraguay W
2 : 0
Ecuador W
07 Mar
Ecuador W
1 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia W 8 6 2 0 16:7 20
2 Argentina W 8 5 3 0 18:5 18
3 Venezuela W 8 3 3 2 19:6 12
4 Ecuador W 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
5 Peru W 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
6 Paraguay W 8 3 1 4 17:11 10
7 Chile W 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
8 Uruguay W 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
9 Bolivia W 8 0 1 7 2:40 1
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