Sport Picks

Brazil

Paraense A2

Santos PA

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Urumajo play Santos PA in the Paraense A2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Urumajo averaged 1.53 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. Santos PA averaged 1 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Urumajo won 2, Santos PA won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 3, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Urumajo and 1.19 for Santos PA. This points to a Urumajo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Urumajo

26%

Draws

20%

Santos PA

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Urumajo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Urumajo picked up more points recently compared to Santos PA.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

Urumajo Clean Sheet 20%

Santos PA Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Urumajo	Santos PA
Matches Played	17	21
Wins	10	5
Draws	4	6
Losses	3	10
Goals Scored	1.53	1
Goals Conceded	0.82	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Paraense A2

Urumajo vs Santos PA

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

May 30, 2026 Paraense A2

Santos PA vs Urumajo

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urumajo 53 / 100

Santos PA 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Urumajo Santos PA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urumajo Win (1)

Secondary Pick Urumajo & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.2%

2.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Urumajo attacking → ← attacking Santos PA

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urumajo scored in 82% of their last 17 games.

Santos PA let in goals in 76% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Urumajo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Santos PA lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 21

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63