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US Bougouni vs Bakaridjan Prediction & H2H Stats

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bakaridjan in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bakaridjan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
US Bougouni
20%
Draws
50%
Bakaridjan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bakaridjan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bakaridjan lately — more wins on the board than US Bougouni.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Bakaridjan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Bakaridjan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
US Bougouni Clean Sheet 17%
Bakaridjan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Bougouni Bakaridjan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.43 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.57 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs US Bougouni
4:1
Feb 7, 2026 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Bakaridjan
0:2
Mar 18, 2025 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs US Bougouni
0:1
Dec 1, 2024 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Bakaridjan
1:2
May 11, 2024 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Bakaridjan
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Bougouni 10 / 100
Bakaridjan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Bougouni Bakaridjan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bakaridjan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Bakaridjan let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

US Bougouni's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: US Bougouni stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

US Bougouni VS Bakaridjan
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

US Bougouni

(Home)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
24 May
US Bougouni
0 : 1
Onze Createurs
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Bakaridjan

(Away)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
10 Jun
Onze Createurs
0 : 0
Bakaridjan
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
Bakaridjan
0 : 3
Djoliba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)