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US Bougouni vs Bougouba

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between US Bougouni and Bougouba finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bougouba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
US Bougouni
15%
Draws
59%
Bougouba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bougouba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Bougouba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
US Bougouni Clean Sheet 16%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Bougouni Bougouba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.43 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Bougouba
1:2
Jan 2, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs US Bougouni
0:1
Jun 3, 2025 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs US Bougouni
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Bougouba
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Bougouba
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Bougouni 31 / 100
Bougouba 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Bougouni Bougouba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bougouba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bougouba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

US Bougouni scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

US Bougouni went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

US Bougouni VS Bougouba
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

US Bougouni

(Home)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
24 May
US Bougouni
0 : 1
Onze Createurs
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Bougouba

(Away)
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)