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US Bougouni vs Derby Academie

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
US Bougouni
28%
Draws
50%
Derby Academie
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Derby Academie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Derby Academie at 1.25 per game, US Bougouni at 0.38.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Derby Academie taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
US Bougouni Clean Sheet 14%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Bougouni Derby Academie
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 5 5
Draws 5 14
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs US Bougouni
2:1
Jan 21, 2026 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Derby Academie
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Bougouni 23 / 100
Derby Academie 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Bougouni Derby Academie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DFA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Derby Academie conceded in 62% of 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Derby Academie has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

US Bougouni's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

US Bougouni VS Derby Academie
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316