Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
57'
57'
88'
88'
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with US Chaouia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- El Kerma haven't matched US Chaouia's recent run of results.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on US Chaouia taking it.
- US Chaouia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor US Chaouia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
US Chaouia Clean Sheet 68%
El Kerma Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | US Chaouia | El Kerma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.73 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2025 Algeria Cup
US Chaouia vs El Kerma
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
US Chaouia 50 / 100
El Kerma 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
US Chaouia El Kerma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick US Chaouia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
El Kerma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
US Chaouia found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: US Chaouia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
US Chaouia VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
US Chaouia
(Home) 26 Sept
Magra
1 : 0 US Chaouia
18 Sept
US Chaouia
1 : 1 Beni Oulbane
20 May
CR Temouchent
1 : 0 US Chaouia
16 May
Harrach
1 : 2 US Chaouia
09 May
Biskra
1 : 1 US Chaouia
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
US Chaouia
1 : 1 Beni Oulbane
02 May
US Chaouia
3 : 1 JS Djijel
17 Apr
US Chaouia
3 : 0 IB Khemis El Khechna
04 Apr
US Chaouia
4 : 0 Beni Thour
14 Mar
US Chaouia
3 : 0 MSP Batna
Page 1 of 3
El Kerma
(Away) 11 Jan
US Chaouia
2 : 1 El Kerma
03 Jan
El Kerma
2 : 1 ASO Chlef
26 Jun
SC Ain Defla
3 : 0 El Kerma
19 Jun
El Kerma
1 : 1 ASM Oran
05 Jun
Remchi
0 : 0 El Kerma
Page 1 of 6
11 Jan
US Chaouia
2 : 1 El Kerma
26 Jun
SC Ain Defla
3 : 0 El Kerma
05 Jun
Remchi
0 : 0 El Kerma
27 May
RC Oued Rhiou
1 : 0 El Kerma
18 May
OM Arzew
2 : 2 El Kerma
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Bel Abbes 2
Azazga 1
CR Temouchent 3
CA Batna 1
Bouakeul 0
Beni Thamou 1
USM Blida 0
Sedrata 1
RC Kouba 2
GC Mascara 0
Saoura 2
Khenchela 1
USM Alger 6
Olympique Magrane 0
Magra 1
Rouisset 0
ISC Tlemcen 1
USM Setif 3
Bechar Djedid 2
Oran 3
Guelma 0
Kabylie 2
Harrach 1
Hussein Dey 0
IRB Nezla 0
Kolea 1
Biskra 1
SC Mecheria 0
Mostaganem 2
WAB Tissemsilt 1
JSM Tiaret 4
ES Aurassien 0
CR Belouizdad 1
CR Zaouia 0
ES Ben Aknoun 0
MC Alger 3
US Chaouia 1
WA Mostaganem 0
El Kerma 2
ASO Chlef 1
Annaba 2
Ain Yagout 1
MO Bejaia 2
Khroub 1
Sendjas 1
Paradou 3
Hai El Djabel 2
Oued Fodda 1
Touggourt 2
Bougaa 0
Nasr El Fedjoudj 0
El Bayadh 1
Olympique Akbou 1
Constantine 0
MJ Arzew 2
Mouloudia Chouhada 1
Bejaia 2
USB Hassi 1
Sidi Abdelmoumen 0
AE El Eulma 2
Eulma 0
ES Setif 2
MB Barika 1
JS Djijel 2
1/16-finals
Bel Abbes 0
CR Temouchent 1
Beni Thamou 1
Sedrata 0
RC Kouba 2
Saoura 1
USM Alger 1
Magra 0
USM Setif 0
Oran 1
Kabylie 0
Harrach 1
Kolea 0
Biskra 1
Mostaganem 2
JSM Tiaret 1
CR Belouizdad 1
MC Alger 0
US Chaouia 2
El Kerma 1
Annaba 0
MO Bejaia 1
Paradou 2
Hai El Djabel 3
Touggourt 0
El Bayadh 2
Olympique Akbou 1
MJ Arzew 0
Bejaia 0
AE El Eulma 1
ES Setif 1
JS Djijel 0
1/8-finals
CR Temouchent 1
Beni Thamou 0
RC Kouba 0
USM Alger 1
Oran 0
Harrach 1
Biskra 1
Mostaganem 2
CR Belouizdad 4
US Chaouia 2
MO Bejaia 2
Hai El Djabel 0
El Bayadh 1
Olympique Akbou 0
AE El Eulma 0
ES Setif 1
Quarter-finals
CR Temouchent 0
USM Alger 5
Harrach 2
Mostaganem 1
CR Belouizdad 1
MO Bejaia 0
El Bayadh 1
ES Setif 0
Semi-finals
USM Alger 1
Harrach 0
CR Belouizdad 1
El Bayadh 0
Final
USM Alger 2
CR Belouizdad 0
