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US Chaouia vs MB Hassi Messaoud

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2014/2015
Sat, Dec 13, 2014
2 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

US Chaouia play MB Hassi Messaoud in the Algeria Cup 2014/2015. US Chaouia are favorites here. Recently, US Chaouia averaged 1.84 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. MB Hassi Messaoud averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. In past meetings, US Chaouia won 1, MB Hassi Messaoud won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 13, 2014 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for US Chaouia and 0.88 for MB Hassi Messaoud. This points to a US Chaouia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
US Chaouia
15%
Draws
18%
MB Hassi Messaoud
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: US Chaouia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • US Chaouia picked up more points recently compared to MB Hassi Messaoud.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
US Chaouia Clean Sheet 25%
MB Hassi Messaoud Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Chaouia MB Hassi Messaoud
Matches Played 31 8
Wins 19 2
Draws 5 0
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.84 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.77 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2014 Algeria Cup
US Chaouia vs MB Hassi Messaoud
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Chaouia 65 / 100
MB Hassi Messaoud 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Chaouia MB Hassi Messaoud

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick US Chaouia Win (1)
Secondary Pick US Chaouia & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

US Chaouia attacking → ← attacking MB Hassi Messaoud

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

US Chaouia scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

MB Hassi Messaoud let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

US Chaouia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

MB Hassi Messaoud lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 6
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00