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US Feulen vs Progres Niedercorn

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Progres Niedercorn advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
US Feulen
15%
Draws
45%
Progres Niedercorn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progres Niedercorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Progres Niedercorn come out ahead of US Feulen on wins alone.
  • Model gives Progres Niedercorn a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Progres Niedercorn arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Progres Niedercorn, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
US Feulen Clean Sheet 16%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Feulen Progres Niedercorn
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 0 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.73 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2018 Luxembourg Cup
US Feulen vs Progres Niedercorn
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Feulen 19 / 100
Progres Niedercorn 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Feulen Progres Niedercorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

US Feulen found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (22 games).

Defensive concern: Progres Niedercorn conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: US Feulen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

US Feulen VS Progres Niedercorn
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

US Feulen

(Home)
19 Sept
US Boevange/Attert
1 : 3
US Feulen
18 Jul
Jeunesse Esch
3 : 0
US Feulen
22 Apr
US Feulen
1 : 2
Victoria Rosport
04 Mar
US Feulen
1 : 0
Alisontia Steinsel
09 Nov
US Feulen
2 : 1
Bettembourg
Page 1 of 5

Progres Niedercorn

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 7
Progres Niedercorn
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0
Racing Luxembourg
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0
Rumelange
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dudelange 7
Kehlen 1
Les Ardoisiers Perle 1
US Sandweiler 4
CS Bourscheid 2
Excelsior Grevels 0
Blo Weiss Itzig 1
Fola 7
Differdange 2
FF Norden 1
Bettembourg 0
Racing Luxembourg 7
Hesperange 6
Jeunesse Schieren 3
FC Orania Vianden 0
Mondorf 7
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 4
Jeunesse Biwer 0
Schifflange 1
FC Mamer 4
Jeunesse Canach 4
Diekirch 2
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Bissen 7
Luxembourg City 4
Echternach 0
Syra Mensdorf 2
Erpeldange 3
Hostert 4
Lintgen 0
US Feulen 1
Progres Niedercorn 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 5
Oberkorn 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 2
Koeppchen 4
Alliance Aischdall 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 3
US Moutfort/Medingen 2
Sporting Bertrange 3
Wiltz 6
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler 0
CS Sanem 1
Union Tetange 3
FC Rodange 91 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Steinfort 0
Victoria Rosport 1
UNA Strassen 6
Jeunesse Useldange 1
Union Remich/Bous 0
Rumelange 1
Union Titus Petange 4
AS Colmar-Berg 0
Mondercange 0
Esch 1
Jeunesse Esch 3
Berdenia Berbourg 0
AS Wincrange 0
Kaerjeng 6
Cebra 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 0
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Ettelbruck 10
1/16-finals
Dudelange 6
US Sandweiler 0
CS Bourscheid 1
Fola 16
Differdange 3
Racing Luxembourg 2
Hesperange 1
Mondorf 3
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 1
FC Mamer 0
Jeunesse Canach 0
Bissen 2
Luxembourg City 6
Erpeldange 2
Hostert 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 5
Koeppchen 1
Alliance Aischdall 2
Sporting Bertrange 3
Wiltz 2
Union Tetange 1
FC Rodange 91 1
Victoria Rosport 2
UNA Strassen 4
Rumelange 1
Union Titus Petange 1
Esch 2
Jeunesse Esch 5
Kaerjeng 0
Cebra 0
Ettelbruck 2
1/8-finals
Dudelange 2
Fola 1
Differdange 1
Mondorf 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 1
Bissen 0
Luxembourg City 2
Progres Niedercorn 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
Sporting Bertrange 1
Wiltz 0
Victoria Rosport 2
UNA Strassen 2
Esch 1
Jeunesse Esch 0
Ettelbruck 1
Quarter-finals
Dudelange 3
Mondorf 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
Victoria Rosport 0
UNA Strassen 1
Ettelbruck 2
Semi-finals
Dudelange 3
Progres Niedercorn 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Ettelbruck 3
Final
Dudelange 5
Ettelbruck 0