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US Gendarmerie vs AS Garde Nationale

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Super Ligue
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AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue game between US Gendarmerie and AS Garde Nationale finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Garde Nationale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
US Gendarmerie
33%
Draws
27%
AS Garde Nationale
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: US Gendarmerie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • US Gendarmerie carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives US Gendarmerie a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
US Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 20%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Gendarmerie AS Garde Nationale
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 9 11
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs AS Garde Nationale
0:1
Dec 27, 2025 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs US Gendarmerie
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs AS Garde Nationale
0:2
Feb 5, 2025 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs US Gendarmerie
3:1
Apr 28, 2024 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs US Gendarmerie
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Gendarmerie 40 / 100
AS Garde Nationale 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Gendarmerie AS Garde Nationale

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: US Gendarmerie scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

US Gendarmerie went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

AS Garde Nationale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

US Gendarmerie VS AS Garde Nationale
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%