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US Gendarmerie vs ASFAN - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Niger Niger

Super Ligue
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

US Gendarmerie host ASFAN in the Super Ligue. This one's hard to separate. ASFAN have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while US Gendarmerie have conceded 0.58 and scored 1.81. Past meetings favor US Gendarmerie slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.69) point toward US Gendarmerie. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
US Gendarmerie
30%
Draws
26%
ASFAN
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: US Gendarmerie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • US Gendarmerie have won more games recently than ASFAN.
  • Win probability leans US Gendarmerie's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
US Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 20%
ASFAN Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Gendarmerie ASFAN
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 20 16
Draws 7 9
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.81 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.58 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs US Gendarmerie
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs ASFAN
2:0
May 14, 2025 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs ASFAN
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs US Gendarmerie
0:0
Jun 30, 2024 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs ASFAN
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Gendarmerie 76 / 100
ASFAN 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Gendarmerie ASFAN

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick US Gendarmerie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

US Gendarmerie's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

US Gendarmerie has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: ASFAN conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

US Gendarmerie VS ASFAN
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

US Gendarmerie

(Home)
04 Oct
JS Tahoua
1 : 2
US Gendarmerie
27 Sept
Wombeye
0 : 1
US Gendarmerie
23 Sept
US Gendarmerie
1 : 0
Nigelec
18 Sept
US Gendarmerie
4 : 0
Urana
12 Sept
Espoir
0 : 2
US Gendarmerie
Page 1 of 7

ASFAN

(Away)
04 Oct
Wombeye
1 : 1
ASFAN
27 Sept
ASFAN
1 : 1
Liberte
19 Sept
Tagour
1 : 2
ASFAN
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0
Douanes Niamey
06 Sept
Niima
1 : 1
ASFAN
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 US Gendarmerie 5 5 0 0 10:1 15
2 Sahel 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 AS Garde Nationale 5 3 1 1 7:2 10
4 ASFAN 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
5 Urana 5 2 2 1 5:7 8
6 Wombeye 5 1 3 1 4:3 6
7 Niima 5 1 3 1 4:5 6
8 Police 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
9 AS UAM 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
10 Douanes Niamey 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
11 Liberte 5 1 2 2 1:4 5
12 Espoir 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
13 Tagour 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 JS Tahoua 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
15 Nigelec 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
16 AS ZAM 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)