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US Gendarmerie vs Nigelec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Niger Niger

Super Ligue
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

US Gendarmerie in this Super Ligue matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored US Gendarmerie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
US Gendarmerie
20%
Draws
9%
Nigelec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: US Gendarmerie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Nigelec haven't matched US Gendarmerie's recent run of results.
  • US Gendarmerie are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
US Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 20%
Nigelec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Gendarmerie Nigelec
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 20 17
Draws 8 9
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.56 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Nigelec
1:0
Apr 27, 2026 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Nigelec
1:2
Dec 21, 2025 Super Ligue
Nigelec vs US Gendarmerie
0:1
Jun 10, 2025 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Nigelec
0:1
Jan 2, 2025 Super Ligue
Nigelec vs US Gendarmerie
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Gendarmerie 85 / 100
Nigelec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Gendarmerie Nigelec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick US Gendarmerie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

US Gendarmerie has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

US Gendarmerie found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Away concern: Nigelec has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Nigelec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

US Gendarmerie VS Nigelec
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

US Gendarmerie

(Home)
04 Oct
JS Tahoua
1 : 2
US Gendarmerie
27 Sept
Wombeye
0 : 1
US Gendarmerie
23 Sept
US Gendarmerie
1 : 0
Nigelec
18 Sept
US Gendarmerie
4 : 0
Urana
12 Sept
Espoir
0 : 2
US Gendarmerie
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Nigelec

(Away)
04 Oct
Espoir
1 : 0
Nigelec
26 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
Police
23 Sept
US Gendarmerie
1 : 0
Nigelec
19 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
Niima
12 Sept
MC Alger
5 : 0
Nigelec
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 US Gendarmerie 5 5 0 0 10:1 15
2 Sahel 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 AS Garde Nationale 5 3 1 1 7:2 10
4 ASFAN 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
5 Urana 5 2 2 1 5:7 8
6 Wombeye 5 1 3 1 4:3 6
7 Niima 5 1 3 1 4:5 6
8 Police 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
9 AS UAM 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
10 Douanes Niamey 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
11 Liberte 5 1 2 2 1:4 5
12 Espoir 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
13 Tagour 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 JS Tahoua 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
15 Nigelec 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
16 AS ZAM 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)